It means someone is really bad at something and/or they don't know what they are doing.
If you are standing in a boat (assuming of course that it is in the water) then it would be very easy to 'hit water' (touch the water, fall in, whatever.)
Thus it is a funny way to say someone is really bad or inept at something, by making the analogy that even if they were in a place surrounded by water they still wouldn't be able to 'hit' it.
In the UK we have a couple of funny (and I guess a bit more vulgar) idioms along the same lines like:
He couldn't hit a cow's arse with a banjo...
He couldn't organise a piss-up in a brewery...