Miya
What's the difference between "predict" and "forecast"?
2012年9月29日 16:28
解答 · 10
2
Predict = to say that an event or action will happen in the future, especially as a result of knowledge or experience, it is usually focussed on outcomes and not the pathway to those outcomes. For example, I could predict that by 2050 all vehicles will be powered with electric motors without explaining how we get from low adoption in 2012 to full adoption by 2050. Forecast = a statement of what is judged likely to happen in the future, especially in connection with a particular situation. The terms forecast and prediction are often used interchangeably but sometimes forecasts are distinguished from predictions in that forecasts often provide explanations of the pathways to an outcome.
2012年9月29日
2
A prediction is outcome oriented and applies to a particular event at a particular time. It can involve careful analysis, but often does not. A forecast involves an analysis of various factors and includes the estimation of multiple possible outcomes. If I am working in business or science, a 'forecast' is preferred over a 'prediction', as the image of predication involves some magic seer, though by strict definition, that is not really the case.
2012年9月29日
As a data scientist, I can firmly say that "predict" is to infer something from known explanatory variables and doesn't necessarily mean foreseeing something in time. If I have a model and input mock data, it is also called to "predict". On the other hand, "forecast" should be related to times series. You can forecast the future value based on past trends, seasonality, and explanatory variables. In one word, "forecast" is always related to the future, while "predict" may not.
2023年5月16日
To predict is to say what you think will happen based on one of a variety of means, some based on deductive logic others on pure chance, guesses or beliefs. Forecasting is one type of prediction. It is based on deductive logic that uses patterns to dictate the direction certain action or events might take. Weather forecasting is the best example of this.
2012年9月29日
@marcostudent Thanks!
2012年9月29日
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